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IE Market Research Corporation: Venezuela will have 36.3 million mobile subscribers in 2013 with market share of Telvenco increasing to 25.8%, according to new market research report by IEMR
Vancouver, Nov 27, 2009 (M2 PRESSWIRE via COMTEX) --
IE Market Research Corp. (IEMR), the Canadian-based provider of market intelligence services, announced today the release of its 4Q09 Venezuela Mobile Operator Forecast, 2009 - 2013.
"Given the latest quarter numbers, we forecast that the number of total mobile subscriber accounts in Venezuela will increase from 28.2 million in 2008 to 36.3 million in 2013," said Nizar Assanie, Vice President (Research) at IEMR. "We forecast that subscriber bases at Movilnet, Movistar Venezuela, and Telvenco will rise to approximately 13.7 million, 13.2 million, and 9.4 million respectively in 2013."
"Although ARPUs are declining in many wireless markets around the world, we think that this is not the case in Venezuela. We forecast that the industry average monthly ARPU will increase from VEF 39.46 in 2008 to VEF 43.95 in 2013. Movistar Venezuela will continue to receive the highest monthly ARPU among the Venezuelan operators. We forecast that its monthly ARPU will increase to VEF 43.76 in 2013. On the other hand, Telvenco's monthly ARPU will remain much lower at approximately VEF 22 from 2009 to 2013," said Mr. Assanie.
IEMR's Venezuela Mobile Operator Forecast covers 50 financial and operational metrics on wireless operators in Venezuela - Movilnet (CA Nacional Telefonos de Venezuela (CANTV)), Movistar Venezuela (Telefonica S.A.), and Telvenco S.A.. Notable highlights of the 4Q09 Venezuela Mobile Operator Forecast include:
* We expect that Telvenco's share of total subscribers will be increasing from 21.5% in 2008 to 25.8% in 2013. On the other hand, we expect that Movilnet's subscriber market share will fall from 39.8% to 37.9% and Movistar Venezuela's market share will fall from 38.7% to 36.3% over the forecast period, 2008 - 2013.
* We forecast that the industry average EBITDA margin (calculated as EBITDA/reported revenue) will increase slightly from 38.9% in 2008 to 39.1% in 2013. We expect that Movistar's EBITDA margin will continue to be higher than those of Movilnet and Telvenco. Our model predicts that EBITDA margins at Movilnet, Movistar Venezuela, and Telvenco will be 22.5%, 50.4%, and 37.2% respectively in 2013.
IEMR's Global Mobile Operator Forecast covers 50 operational metrics of 200+ mobile operators in 50 countries, making up 80% of the world's population. Forecasts are based on our proprietary, country-specific forecasting models. These models deploy multiple regression analysis and cross-impact matrices that estimate relationships between subscriber data, technology use and deployment data, overall economic and demographic changes expected in a particular country; and relate these to company operational and financial metrics.
To purchase this report, visit our website at: http://www.iemarketresearch.com/Members/Reports/ViewReportDetail.aspx?RID=1351&flag=1
Companies Covered in this Country Mobile Operator Forecast
Movilnet (CA Nacional Telefonos de Venezuela (CANTV))
Movistar Venezuela (Telefonica S.A.)
Telvenco S.A.
Annual Results & Forecasts for each of the above operators is covered in this report for: CY 2001-CY 2013. Quarterly Results & Forecasts are covered for: March 2003 - June 2011
PREPAID AND POSTPAID SUBSCRIBERS
SUBSCRIBER GROWTH (YoY)
SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
NET SUBSCRIBER ADDS BY OPERATOR
NET SUBSCRIBER ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR
MONTHLY CHURN BY OPERATOR *
POST-PAID SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
POST-PAID SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
PREPAID/WHOLESALE SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
PREPAID/WHOLESALE SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR
POST-PAID % OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
PREPAID/WHOLESALE % OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
POST-PAID NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
POST-PAID ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
PREPAID/WHOLESALE NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
PREPAID/WHOLESALE ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR
MONTHLY ARPU BY OPERATOR
MONTHLY ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY %)
DATA % OF SERVICE REVENUES BY OPERATOR **
MONTHLY DATA ARPU BY OPERATOR **
DATA ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) **
MONTHLY VOICE ARPU BY OPERATOR
VOICE ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
VOICE REVENUE PER MINUTE BY OPERATOR ***
VOICE REVENUE PER MINUTE GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) ***
MOU PER SUBSCRIBER BY OPERATOR (MINUTES/MONTH) ***
MOU/SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY %) ***
SHARE OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
HHI INDEX BY SUBSCRIBER SHARE
SHARE OF NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
SHARE OF POST-PAID NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
SHARE OF PREPAID/WHOLESALE NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
SHARE OF SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR
HHI INDEX BY SERVICE REVENUE SHARE
YoY CHANGE IN REVENUE SHARE BY OPERATOR
REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY)
SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY)
EBITDA BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY)
CAPEX BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY) ****
SERVICE REVENUE GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
EBITDA GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
EBITDA/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR
EBITDA/SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR
EBITDA/INCREMENTAL SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR
CAPEX/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR ****
CAPEX/SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR ****
(EBITDA-CAPEX)/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR ****
EBITDA MARGIN EXPANSION/CONTRACTION BY OPERATOR
REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR (USD)
ARPU BY OPERATOR (USD)
DATA ARPU BY OPERATOR (USD) **
VOICE REV/MINUTE BY OPERATOR (USD) ***
SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR (USD)
EBITDA BY OPERATOR (USD)
CAPEX BY OPERATOR (USD) ****
* Not available for this country forecast
** Available only for Movilnet
*** Available only for Movilnet and Movistar Venezuela
**** Available only for Movistar Venezuela
CONTACT: Mr. Nizar Assanie, Vice President (Research), IE Market Research
Tel: +1 604 327 4367
e-mail: info@iemarketresearch.com
WWW: http://www.iemarketresearch.com
((M2 Communications disclaims all liability for information provided within M2 PressWIRE. Data supplied by named party/parties. Further information on M2 PressWIRE can be obtained at http://www.presswire.net on the world wide web. Inquiries to info@m2.com.
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